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Module 05 · Trading Academy
Regime Detection
Strategies live or die by regime. A breakout-and-go playbook prints in trend regimes and burns in mean-revert ones. This module teaches you to label the current regime probabilistically, watch the transitions, and size positions to match — the discipline that separates surviving traders from the ones who keep “holding through”.
Chapters
5
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5
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5.1
Market Regimes Defined
Trend, range, vol-up, vol-down — the four canonical regimes and the indicators that distinguish them.
LIVE
14 min
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5.2
Posterior Calibration
Updating regime probabilities Bayesian-style as new data arrives — without overreacting to single-day noise.
LIVE
15 min
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5.3
Regime Transitions
The most expensive trades happen at regime flips. Early-warning signals for trend-to-range and risk-on-to-risk-off shifts.
LIVE
14 min
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5.4
Multi-Asset Regime Confirmation
Cross-checking equity regime against bond, dollar, and credit signals to weed out false positives.
LIVE
15 min
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5.5
Regime-Conditional Sizing
Half size in choppy regimes, full size in clean ones. The simple rule that materially flattens your equity curve.
LIVE
13 min
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